File #: REP 19 -686    Version: 2 Name:
Type: Informational Report Status: Regular Business
File created: 7/2/2020 In control: Technical Coordinating Committee
On agenda: 8/6/2020 Final action: 8/6/2020
Title: Update on Wake Transit Vision Plan Development and FY 21 Work Plan Reassessment Bret Martin, MPO Staff
Indexes: Transit, wake transit
Attachments: 1. Staff Report
Title
Update on Wake Transit Vision Plan Development and FY 21 Work Plan Reassessment
Bret Martin, MPO Staff

Body
In August of 2019, CAMPO kicked off the development of the Wake Transit Vision Plan Update, which will be a tune-up to certain assumptions made in the original Wake County Transit Plan and an extension of the planning horizon for the Wake County Transit Plan from 2027 to 2030. To date, the focus of the plan update has been on reassessing cost and schedule feasibility assumptions for major capital projects, producing a countywide transit market reassessment, and determining whether there is financial capacity for additional transit investments through 2030. These tasks are substantially complete.

Due to the economic uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, our forecasting of public transportation sales tax revenues through 2030 has changed significantly. Financial scenarios that account for projected revenue reductions reveal that revenues collected during the three years added to the planning horizon will likely need to be used to rebalance expenditures included under more optimistic assumptions in the original Wake County Transit Plan. The financial scenarios also reveal that some cuts to planned expenditures may be necessary. The best way to characterize the overall financial impact is that some of the investments envisioned in the original Wake County Transit Plan to be delivered by 2027 will likely need to be delayed by up to a few years. Accordingly, our overall approach to the Wake County Transit Plan update that is currently underway is to continue to deliver the Wake County Transit Plan adopted in 2016 on a slightly extended timeline.

While we will continue to refine our financial projections as revenue data are collected, within the context of our current outlook, CAMPO staff will be working to facilitate a project reprioritization and reprogramming process that will adjust our strategic phasing of investments to be in sync with th...

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